Julien B. Booth

Principal & Portfolio Manager

jbooth@forestcapital.net

Dana Christner

Operations Manager

dchristner@forestcapital.net

 

© 2019 Forest Capital, Corp. - All Rights Reserved

300 McGill Avenue NW

Concord, NC 28027

(704) 750-8000

2400 CrownPoint Executive Drive, Suite 200

Charlotte, NC 28227

(704) 847-0101

(704) 849-0535

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Understanding Risk - The Fed Warns Investors

November 29, 2018

 

Good Morning:

 

I hope this note finds you well.  Happy Hanukkah and Merry Christmas.

 

Our position as an investment firm with a primary focus on principal safety and durable income is well known. 

 

Sometimes we find it helpful to provide third party work from those without our proclaimed bias.  The Federal Reserve is acknowledging the:

 

1. Place in the economic cycle;

2. Levels of corporate debt; and

3. Present asset valuations.

 

When you bake this cake - along with plummeting oil prices (-35%) and falling rates (10 year UST at 3.02). 

 

I believe the Fed is trying to get in front of being blamed for a potential, material drawdown in equity market prices.  Nothing is ever certain; its all about probability.    

 

Enjoy.

https://app.hedgeye.com/insights/71794-the-fed-warns-the-drop-in-asset-prices-might-be-particularly-large?type=guest-contributors

 

Regards,

 

JBB

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